Saturday, August 25, 2012

Candlestick Charts & The 200 Week Moving Average

Applying the 200 week moving average to two year candlestick charts is a great way to see what's up (or down) with the markets.

Some charts show stocks and ETF's nearly 50% above their 200 WMA's - basically in the stratosphere with no support whatsoever. Other charts show markets trapped below descending 200 WMA's with no hope of getting back above them.

Again, it is my belief that the equity markets topped last year right around the time of the Bin Laden raid. The higher highs evident on many charts are simply overextended corrections.

The negative weekly closing prices that printed yesterday mark the completion of the dome top corrections that have been forming over the past year. I fully expect the markets to trade sharply lower from here, in the process doing great damage to Obama's re-election odds.

And now for the charts...


NYSE COMPOSITE


DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE
NASDAQ 100

S&P 500

RUSSELL 2000
MSCI EAFE ETF
EMERGING MARKETS ETF
CHINA ETF
RETAIL ETF

CONSUMER STAPLES ETF

FINANCIAL ETF
ENERGY ETF
PHARMACEUTICAL ETF

GOLD MINERS ETF
GENERAL ELECTRIC
DISNEY

WAL-MART

JP MORGAN
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON
PNC FINANCIAL
INTEL
CISCO SYSTEMS